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Volume 22, Issue 57, January - June, 2025

Future climate projections and sustainable development: The impact of Urban Heat Islands and land use land cover in Telangana's GHMC area

Kishore Kumar Reddy P1, Mohan Babu CG2, Padma Priya KT3, Venkata Rami Reddy Y4, Vishnu Vardhan Reddy L5, Madhusudhan Reddy M6♦, Salla Arun Tejadhar Reddy7, Gowsya Sheik8, Kallakunta Ravi Kumar9

1Department of Civil Engineering, Malla Reddy Engineering College (Autonomous), Secunderabad 500100, Telangana, India
2Department of Civil Engineering, G. Pullaiah College of Engineering and Technology, Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh, India
3Environmental Science Division, Department of H&S, CVR College of Engineering, Ibrahimpatnam, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
4Department of Civil Engineering, SVR Engineering College, Nandyal, Andhra Pradesh, India
5Assistant Professor(C), Department of Civil Engineering, University College of Engineering JNTUK, Narasaraopet, India
6Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Institute of Aeronautical Engineering, Dundigal, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
7Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Guru Nanak Institute of Technology, Ibrahimpatnam, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
8Associate Professor, Department of NBA, Mall Reddy College of Engineering and Technology, Maisammaguda, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
9Associate Professor, Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Koneru Lakshmaiah Education Foundation, Guntur, Andhra Pradesh, India

♦Corresponding author
Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Institute of Aeronautical Engineering, Dundigal, Hyderabad, Telangana, India

ABSTRACT

This study investigates the urban heat island (UHI) effect in Hyderabad, Telangana, focusing on the Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (GHMC) area, which spans 650 square kilometers. The analysis integrates land use and land cover (LULC) changes and future climate projections, estimating annual average temperature and precipitation trends up to 2100. Utilizing data from USGS Landsat-8, SRTM-DEM, and IMD, various thematic maps, including elevation (ranging from 456 to 637 meters) and natural infrared. LULC data from 1985, 1995, 2005, and 2023 were analyzed to identify significant changes over time. Moreover, other directories like NDBI, NDVI, and NDWI originated from Landsat-8 information collected from different terms in 2021, 2022, and 2023.The results indicated significant trends in climatic impact caused due to urbanization, which outlined the increase in surface temperatures and intensified UHI effects. UHI in the GHMC area is categorized into two groups, with high values of 329.75 and low values of 72.04. Rainfall is categorized into high (251-1500 mm), medium (26-250 mm), and low (0-25 mm). Additionally, the analysis considered different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) – SSP1 2.6, SSP2 4.5, SSP3 7.0, and SSP5 8.5 to project temperature, precipitation and humidity trends until 2100. The findings contribute to understanding climate impacts, guiding sustainable urban development, and enhancing climate resilience in the GHMC region.

Keywords: Urban Heat Island (UHI), Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (GHMC), Land Use and Land Cover (LULC), Landsat-8, Temperature, Precipitation, and Land Surface Temperature (LST).

Indian Journal of Engineering, 2025, 22(57), e4ije1690
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.54905/disssi.v22i57.e4ije1690

Published: 07 February 2025

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© The Author(s) 2025. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY 4.0).